Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2019 Apr 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 21-Apr 23 2019 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 21-Apr 23 2019

            Apr 21     Apr 22     Apr 23
00-03UT        2          2          2     
03-06UT        1          1          1     
06-09UT        1          1          1     
09-12UT        1          1          2     
12-15UT        1          1          2     
15-18UT        1          1          3     
18-21UT        2          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.


:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               15            10            20
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            20
High/Minor_Storm         20            20            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  15            20            20
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next few days. Widespread aurora beyond the Arctic Circle is not currently expected.


Click HERE for the latest Alerts, Watches and Warnings.


Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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