Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2020 Jan 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 21-Jan 23 2020 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 21-Jan 23 2020

            Jan 21     Jan 22     Jan 23
00-03UT        2          3          2     
03-06UT        2          3          2     
06-09UT        2          2          1     
09-12UT        1          2          1     
12-15UT        2          1          1     
15-18UT        3          1          1     
18-21UT        4          2          2     
21-00UT        3          2          1     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               30            20            10
Mid/Minor_Storm          10             5             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         30            25            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  40            25            15
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at fairly quiet levels over the next several days with a chance for active conditions at very high latitudes during the next 24 hours.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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