Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2020 Feb 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 21-Feb 23 2020 is 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 21-Feb 23 2020

            Feb 21     Feb 22     Feb 23
00-03UT        3          2          2     
03-06UT        4          1          1     
06-09UT        4          1          2     
09-12UT        3          1          1     
12-15UT        2          1          1     
15-18UT        2          1          1     
18-21UT        1          2          1     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               10            10            10
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         20            20            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  10            10            10
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Enhanced geomagnetic activity will remain possible during the next 24 hours at higher latitudes due to a coronal hole stream.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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