Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2019 Dec 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 08-Dec 10 2019 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 08-Dec 10 2019

            Dec 08     Dec 09     Dec 10
00-03UT        2          3          2     
03-06UT        2          2          1     
06-09UT        2          2          1     
09-12UT        2          2          1     
12-15UT        2          2          1     
15-18UT        2          2          1     
18-21UT        2          1          2     
21-00UT        3          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               20            20            10
Mid/Minor_Storm           5             5             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         30            30            15
High/Major-Severe_Storm  25            25            10
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next several days. Widespread aurora beyon the polar zones is not in the forecast.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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