3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast (January 19, 2022)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

January 19
January 20
January 21

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               20            20            20
Mid/Minor_Storm           5             5             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         25            25            25
High/Major-Severe_Storm  25            25            25
Kp Index Breakdown

            Jan 19     Jan 20     Jan 21
00-03UT        4          2          2     
03-06UT        3          1          3     
06-09UT        3          1          2     
09-12UT        2          1          2     
12-15UT        2          2          2     
15-18UT        1          2          2     
18-21UT        1          3          2     
21-00UT        2          3          2      


Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

   
                                

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled, with an isolated
period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming, due to waning CH HSS
influence.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels,
with a chance for isolated active periods on 19 Jan as elevated wind
speeds from the recent CH HSS persist. The nearby passage of the 16 Jan
CME could cause occasional periods of unsettled conditions later on 20
Jan and into 21 Jan.


Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

Visible aurora will remain likely at very high latitudes due to an enhanced solar wind stream.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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