3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast (March 6, 2021)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

March 06
March 07
March 08

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               40            30            25
Mid/Minor_Storm          25            10            10
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    5             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              10            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         25            30            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  65            40            40
Kp Index Breakdown

            Mar 06     Mar 07     Mar 08
00-03UT        3          4          3     
03-06UT        4          2          2     
06-09UT        4          2          2     
09-12UT        3          3          2     
12-15UT        2          3          2     
15-18UT        2          3          2     
18-21UT        4          3          2     
21-00UT        5 (G1)     3          3     
 

Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

                                   

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to reflect CH HSS activity.
Geomagnetic activity is likely to increase on 06 Mar, up to active - G1
(Minor) geomagnetic storm levels, due to interaction with a positive
polarity CH HSS. Unsettled to active conditions are anticipated for 07
Mar, and mostly unsettled activity is expected for 08 Mar as influence
from the CH HSS begins to diminish.


Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

A coronal hole stream is predicted to reach Earth sometime during the next 24 hours. A period of minor (G1) storming may be possible depending on the state of the solar wind. Visible aurora will be possible at higher latitudes.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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