3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast (October 19, 2020)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

October 19
October 20
October 21

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active                5            10            30
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1            15
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         15            20            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  10            20            4
Kp Index Breakdown

            Oct 19     Oct 20     Oct 21
00-03UT        2          2          3     
03-06UT        2          2          4     
06-09UT        1          2          3     
09-12UT        1          2          2     
12-15UT        1          2          2     
15-18UT        1          2          3     
18-21UT        2          2          3     
21-00UT        1          3          4     


Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

                                   
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 19-20 Oct.
Isolated unsettled periods are possible late on 20 Oct increasing to
unsettled to active levels on 21 Oct due to influence from an isolated,
negative polarity CH HSS.

Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

Minor solar wind enhancements are contributing to possible aurora at very high latitudes. A further increase will be possible by October 20th when a weak coronal hole stream is expected to reach Earth.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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