3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast   (Updated May 26, 2022)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

May 26
May 27
May 28

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               25            30            25
Mid/Minor_Storm          10            10             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         30            30            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  40            40            30
Kp Index Breakdown

            May 26     May 27     May 28
00-03UT        2          3          3     
03-06UT        2          4          3     
06-09UT        2          4          2     
09-12UT        1          3          3     
12-15UT        2          3          2     
15-18UT        3          2          2     
18-21UT        4          2          3     
21-00UT        4          3          2     

Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

   
                                
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with active
periods likely 26-27 May due to CH HSS effects. Responses are expected
to weaken on 28 May, with primarily quiet to unsettled conditions
expected. Todays M1.3 flare associated CME will be fully analyzed to
determine the potential for any additional, related responses to the
geomagnetic field 27-28 May.


Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

A minor geomagnetic enhancement will be possible beginning May 26th when a coronal hole stream is expected to reach Earth. Visible aurora may be possible at higher latitudes.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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