3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast   (Updated August 13, 2022)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

August 13
August 14
August 15

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               15             5             5
Mid/Minor_Storm           5             1             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         20            15            15
High/Major-Severe_Storm  20             5             5
Kp Index Breakdown

            Aug 13     Aug 14     Aug 15
00-03UT        3          1          1     
03-06UT        3          2          2     
06-09UT        3          1          2     
09-12UT        2          1          1     
12-15UT        1          1          1     
15-18UT        1          1          1     
18-21UT        1          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          1       

Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

   

                                

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field reached quiet to unsettled levels due to
persistent CH HSS influences.

.Forecast...
Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on 13 Aug as positive polarity CH
HSS effects slowly diminish. Conditions are expected to return to mostly
quiet levels by 14 Aug and 15 Aug.


Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

Widespread aurora behond the polar zones is not currently expected during the next 24-48 hours.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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