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Flares
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01. X6.9
02. X5.4
03. X4.9
04. X3.3
05. X3.2
06. X3.1
07. X2.8
08. X2.3
09. X2.2
10. X2.2


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The Sun Today : Updated November 21, 2014

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M-Class: 30%
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Geomag. Storm    NO
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November 21
November 22
November 23
4 (G0)
Max Kp
3 (G0)
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4 (G0)
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Prob-M 10%
Prob-H 40%
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November 21, 2014 @ 12:05 UTC
Solar Update
Good morning. Below is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Friday. Solar activity during the past 24 hours remained low. Only low level C-Flares were observed around both regions 2209 and 2216. Region 2209 continues to possess a delta within the large trailing spot and will remain a lower threat (30%) for an isolated M-Flare. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections were detected during the past day. Stay tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.


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Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
UPDATED 2014 November 21 0030 UTC

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2209 (S13W22,
Fko/beta-gamma-delta) and Region 2216 (S14E58, Dko/beta) both produced a
handful of low-level C-class flares throughout the period. The largest,
a C2/Sf flare at 20/1956 UTC, originated from Region 2209 with the
remainder of the flares only reaching C1 levels. Very little change was
observed in either region. The other spot groups exhibited decay and
very little flare activity. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections
were observed during the period.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for an
M-flare (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) and a slight chance for an X-class flare
(R3/Strong or greater) activity for the next three days (21-23 Nov).
Region 2209 and Region 2216 are the most likely sources for significant
flare activity.


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A - Alpha (single polarity spot).
B - Beta (bipolar spot configuration).
G - Gamma (atypical mixture of polarities).
BG - Beta-Gamma (mixture of polarities in a dominantly bipolar configuration).
D - Delta (opposite polarity umbrae within single penumbra).
BD - Beta with a Delta configuration.
BGD - Beta-Gamma with a Delta configuration.

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